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Page 2 of 4 <br /> The simplest example of an environmental disaster is Easter Island. An <br /> isolated scrap of grassland about 2,000 miles off the coast of Chile, it was <br /> the easternmost outpost of Polynesia. Today, it's a barren island without <br /> native trees, known primarily for its gigantic stone statues. <br /> The native people had developed the sophistication to carve their 80-ton <br /> monoliths with stone tools and transport them miles down a mountain to erect <br /> them on platforms. But when Europeans arrived in 1722, the native society <br /> was in a state of collapse. The residents were even pulling down their own <br /> statues. <br /> The mysteries surrounding how this society evolved and why it collapsed have <br /> recently been solved. According to Diamond, when Polynesians arrived around <br /> the year A.D. 400 the island supported a subtropical forest and the world's <br /> biggest palm tree variety. Once settled, the Easter Islanders began chopping <br /> down the trees for agriculture, canoes, fuel, and monuments. The inhabitants <br /> carried on this deforestation for hundreds of years. <br /> Then one day, they chopped down the last palm tree. Without trees, the soil <br /> eroded, agriculture declined, and canoes disappeared. The people stopped <br /> erecting statues. The island was transformed from a traditional Polynesian <br /> society to one dominated by military cliques. Ultimately, cannibalism <br /> ensued, because there was only one source of protein left on the island: <br /> humans. <br /> What went wrong on Easter Island seems obvious to us today. But Diamond <br /> maintains that future generations will similarly shake their heads at us and <br /> at our laws and policies if we continue to make a mess of things. He <br /> predicted that a hundred years from now, people might ask, "How on earth did <br /> those Americans and Europeans not see the obvious environmental things going <br /> on?" <br /> Why Some Societies Survive <br /> Diamond cited two reasons why some societies survive longer than others do. <br /> The first is the lucky absence of bad advice. "Today, Western experts <br /> frequently go out to dry areas of Africa and Asia and tell the nomads to <br /> settle down. In about 10 or 20 years, the result is disaster, because <br /> settling down makes sense in Europe or the United States, but it doesn't <br /> make sense in a relatively dry area. Nomadism is a response that's evolved <br /> over thousands of years to avoid these problems." <br /> The second reason for a society's longevity is the fairness of its laws and <br /> policies, specifically those that can reconcile clashes of interest. Diamond <br /> categorized disputes into three types: those between the powerful elite and <br /> the rest of society, those between regions, and those between generations. <br /> Clashes between the elite and the rest of society can be seen in the United <br /> States today, especially if the policy of the current administration is to <br /> <br /> insulate members of the elite from the consequences of their actions, said <br /> 9/ 16/02 <br /> <br />