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CHAPTER 2 KONA TODA Y <br />These census figures, available every ten (10) years do not fully capture the exponential growth Kona <br />experienced from 2000 to today. Based on a 2005 estimated population of 31,900 for North Kona and <br />10,700 for South Kona (totaling 42,600)4, the average annual growth rate from 2000 has been 6% <br />comparable to 6% in the rapid expansion period of 1980 to 19905. Using the middle forecast (Series <br />B), as suggested by the County General Plan (2005), the projected total population for the Kona <br />districts for the year 2020 is 56,367, or 13,800 more residents than the estimated population in 2005 <br />(see Chart 2-1). <br />The population growth in Kona is closely associated with continuing growth of the visitor and <br />agricultural industries. <br />Housing production. Growth in housing units provides a more realistic picture of growth in Kona. In the <br />period of 1990 and 2000 the number of new housing units increased at a rate more than twice the <br />population increase, from 7,947 housing units in 1990 to 13,330 in 2000 (ACP -Visioning & Planning, <br />Ltd. and ESC, November 2006) of which only a small portion was affordable housing for residents. <br />This uneven increase creates greater, disproportionate land consumption and infrastructure needs than <br />reflected by population growth statistics. <br />Chart 2-1 <br />District Resident Population Distribution, Year 2020 <br />70,000- <br />60,000 <br />0 50,000 <br />40,000 ❑Series B <br />a 30,000 <br />71 <br />a° 20,000 <br />10,000 <br />0 <br />a -\O 1`�0 a�Ia raa raffia <br />District <br />Source: County of Hawai i General Plan, 2005 <br />4 The General Plan, Table 2-2, provides population projections at 5 -year intervals by district. The 2005 projections for North <br />and South Kona were adjusted by the Census population estimate dated July 2005. The Census estimate for the island <br />was 186,836 (2005 Hawaii County Data Book, Table 1.2, which was higher than the island wide GP projections of <br />159,907, resulting in an adjustment factor of 1.168 (186,836/159,907) <br />5 Average annual growth rate computed by taking the difference of the end year and the start year, divide by number of <br />years, and divide the quotient by the value of the start year (e.g. for North Kona [(22,284-13,748)/10]/13,748 = 0.06 = 6%) <br />2-8 KONA CDP <br />