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Vce <br /> Trend Scenario Allocation <br /> The allocation of forecasted development in the"Trend Scenario"is based on the desirability surface <br /> representing historic development trends. Later in the project, it will be possible to develop alternate <br /> desirability surfaces for scenario planning in which planners test planning strategies that could <br /> encourage growth to evolve in particular ways. <br /> Allocation is performed using Allocator 5 with the inputs above. Again, allocation distributes <br /> predetermined growth amounts for each FAZ to parcels within that FAZ, developing the most desirable <br /> parcels first and proceeding until all growth has been accommodated. No parcel receives more <br /> development than it has capacity for, and many parcels receive little or no development even though <br /> they have capacity available. For the initial run, used to develop the Trend Scenario, randomness is set <br /> at i out of io. Results for each FAZ are as follows: <br /> Table 6.Allocated Residential Growth by FAZ <br /> Residential Remaining Residential Remaining <br /> FAZ Name Single Family Single Family Multifamily Multifamily <br /> Dwelling Units Capacity Dwelling Units Capacity <br /> Hilo 2,952 19,347 833 350 <br /> North Hilo-Hamakua Coast Villages 721 8,000 50 0 <br /> Honoka'a-Pa'au ilo 871 8,820 39 0 <br /> Waimea 1,419 5,388 158 669 <br /> North Kohala 785 9,165 59 172 <br /> Kawaihae-Puako-Waikoloa- 1,338 13,899 1,338 2,477 <br /> Waikoloa Resorts <br /> North Kona 4,418 17,437 2,708 2,668 <br /> South Kona Villages 1,130 20,315 126 64 <br /> Ka'u 2,135 22,953 112 1,859 <br /> Kea'au-Kurtistown 833 4,685 35 40 <br /> Upper Puna 3,373 22,017 31 0 <br /> HPP-Orchidland 7,431 2,565 0 0 <br /> Lower Puna 2,515 23,413 78 73 <br /> Total 29,921 178,004 5,567 8,372 <br /> Trend Scenario and Land Use Allocation Technical Report 11 <br />