|
2.0 WASTE STREAM ASSESSMENT
<br />EXHIBIT 2 -2
<br />Resident Population Forecast
<br />by District, Hawaii County
<br />District
<br />2000 2005 2010
<br />2015
<br />2020
<br />2025
<br />2030
<br />Population
<br />Puna
<br />31,458 37,054 42,546
<br />48,361
<br />54,322
<br />57,827
<br />61,452
<br />South Hilo
<br />47,572 47,168 47,427
<br />47,209
<br />46,437
<br />49,432
<br />52,531
<br />North Hilo
<br />1,727 1,675 1,718
<br />1,746
<br />1,752
<br />1,865
<br />1,982
<br />Hamakua
<br />6,132 6,316 6,554
<br />6,733
<br />6,834
<br />7,275
<br />7,731
<br />North Kohala
<br />6,062 6,750 7,909
<br />9,173
<br />10,514
<br />11,192
<br />11,893
<br />South Kohala
<br />13,183 15,962 18,165
<br />20,463
<br />22,780
<br />24,250
<br />25,770
<br />North Kona
<br />28,655 31,056 33,988
<br />36,826
<br />39,427
<br />41,971
<br />44,602
<br />South Kona
<br />8,623 10,451 11,402
<br />12,314
<br />13,143
<br />13,991
<br />14,868
<br />Ka'u
<br />5,850 6,568 7,043
<br />7,475
<br />7,842
<br />8,347
<br />8,871
<br />Total
<br />149,261 163,000 176,750
<br />190,300
<br />203,050
<br />216,150
<br />229,700
<br />West Hawaii
<br />56,522 64,220 71,463
<br />78,776
<br />85,863
<br />91,403
<br />97,133
<br />East Hawaii
<br />92,739 98,780 105,287
<br />111,524
<br />117,187
<br />124,747
<br />132,567
<br />Annual Growth Rate
<br />West Hawaii
<br />2.6% 2.2%
<br />2.0%
<br />1.7%
<br />1.3%
<br />1.2%
<br />East Hawaii
<br />1.3% 1.3%
<br />1.2%
<br />1.0%
<br />1.3%
<br />1.2%
<br />Sources: The proportion of residents in each District in each year is from the County of
<br />Hawaii General Plan
<br />2005 (Amended December 2006), Table 2 -2. Source: Economic Assessment, PFK Hawaii, January
<br />2000.
<br />Those proportions were multiplied by County total forecast total resident population in each
<br />year from
<br />Hawaii Department of
<br />Business, Economic Development, and Tourism. 2008. Population
<br />and Economic
<br />Projections for the State of Hawai' i to 2035, DBEDT 2035 Series. Accessed at:
<br />httD: / /Hawai'i.aov /dbedt/info /economic /data reDorts /2035LonoRanoeSeries
<br />/2035 Lono
<br />Ranoe
<br />Series ReD
<br />ort1. df
<br />Historical employment in Hawaii County is shown in Exhibit 2 -3. Employment has grown
<br />substantially in recent years, from 40,850 in 1980 to 81,300 in 2006, which corresponds to an
<br />average annual growth rate of 2.7 percent over that period.
<br />Forecast employment for Hawaii County is shown in Exhibit 2 -4. Employment is forecast to
<br />increase at an annual rate of 2.3 percent between 2006 and 2010, at an annual rate of
<br />1.8 percent between 2011 and 2015, and at an annual rate of 1.5 percent thereafter. As noted
<br />in the table, the state of Hawai'i's employment forecast is based on information from a
<br />source that differs from the historical data reported in Exhibit 2 -3.
<br />2 -2 December 2009
<br />
|