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HomeMy WebLinkAboutCOM 1039.073 2006-2008 r Harry Kim .y William Takaba Mayor Director Nancy E. Crawford Deputy Director County of Hawaii Finance Department 25 Aupuni Street, Room 118 • Hilo, Hawaii 96720 (808) 961-8234 • Fax(808)961-8248 June 2, 2008 The Honorable Chairman Pete Hoffmann and Members of the County Council County of Hawaii Hilo, HI 96720 Dear Chairman Hoffmann and Council Members: On May 20, 2008, I appeared before you to discuss the fund balance projection included in the Mayor's proposed FY 2008-09 operating budget. We expressed concern that the Council's proposed amendments to the budget, if approved, would increase the estimated fund balance by an unrealistic $10.1 million. I then explained the consequences of not reaching this new projection. The $16.1 million fund balance that our Budget division estimated is based on an analysis of each account in the current year's budget. We continue to believe that this projection is reasonable based on our most recent revenue and expenditure information. This is as accurate as such projections can be, and is not felt to be conservative. In short, we do not believe the actual fund balance will be any higher than this. The Council's fund balance revenue in the draft budget is now approximately $5.2 million over the administration's estimate. Due to our projections that the fund balance will be in the neighborhood of $16 million, one can see how any estimate over this can be very problematic. As was pointed out to you in my May 20 letter, a shortfall did occur in the FY 2001-02 operating budget because the projected $7.8 million fund balance carryover was not met, creating a budget shortfall of $2.4 million. This resulted in midyear amendments to the budget to reflect the shortfall in revenues. Certain programs, positions, and equipment had to be eliminated due to this shortfall. The budget overall reflects the best information we have on revenues and expenditures. The administration's budget proposal is based on what departments have projected they need for operations and their priority projects, and reflects the goals of the departments and administration. The amounts proposed by administration for transfer to the Disaster and Emergency ($1 million) and the "Rainy Day" ($1 million) funds are there as money set aside for unanticipated emergencies and to provide an unencumbered source of funds in the event that projected revenues are short. In times like we face today, these reserves are more important than ever. ~onrms Ala /031 • Ref. To: 'romtvd Ref. Date ill" 2 211Q8 Hawaii County is an equal opportunity provider and employer. . Honorable Pete Hoffmann, Chair Page 2 June 2, 2008 The State of the Economy There are various indicators that reinforce the need to be conservative in anticipation of revenues and expenditures: ¦ Decreases in the number of building permits issued and in real estate sales will have a negative impact on property assessments, and therefore, property taxes; ¦ Decrease in hotel occupancy rates that will affect revenues from transient accommodations taxes (TAT); quarterly TAT projections by the Council on Revenues have dropped every quarter since May 21, 2007. TAT revenues represent 5% of our operating budget; ¦ Decrease in the number of available airline seats to the island coupled with the removal of two out of three weekly cruise ship visits will affect our island businesses; ¦ Ever increasing cost of fuel that will inevitably decrease the spending power of residents; ¦ Reports of a decrease in real estate transactions, construction slow-down, and slumping retail sales are all indications that caution is needed in government revenues and spending. Overall, the seriousness of the economic situation mandates that the County's balanced budget stay within what we project to be our realistic revenues. This also emphasizes the importance of setting aside funds in the Disaster and Emergency and the "Rainy Day" funds. Your understanding and support is requested to work with us to pass a budget that is realistic and fiscally responsible. This administration cannot support a budget that will exceed reasonably anticipated revenues. Thank you for the opportunity to comment. Aloha, pilliam T aba Director cc: Harry Kim, Mayor