HomeMy WebLinkAboutCOM 0778.004 2010-2012 P/AWESt
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From: Shane Wiley [shanewiley @me.com]
Sent: Monday, July 16, 2012 10:52 PM
To: counciltestimony@co.hawaii.hi.us
Cc: Cheatham Shane
Subject: Resolution 277-12 Increase Solar Feed-In from 15% to 50% Testimony
Attachments: Resolution 277_12 Increase Solar Feed-In.pdf
Resolution 277_12
Increase Sol...
Dear Council Members,
Please see attached pdf file for my testimony.
Mahalo,
Shane Wiley
Mechanical Engineer
2001 FE Mechanical Engineering Certification ma
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Resolution 277-12 Increase Solar Feed-In from 15%to 50% Benefits/Concerns
A Review of the Benefits/Concerns
with Passing Resolution 277-12
by Shane Wiley
Table of Contents
Summary 2
Facts 3
Solar Costs are Declining 3
Solar Financing Available 4
Peak Oil is Here 4
Benefits 5
Local Security 5
Huge Cost Savings to Hawaii Residents 5
Solar versus Geothermal 5
Solar versus Geothermal...continued. 6
Concerns 6
Helco power grid 6
Conclusion 6
1
Resolution 277-12 Increase Solar Feed-In from 15%to 50% Benefits/Concerns
Summary
Passing Resolution 277-12 is very important for Hawaii residents
because solar can increases energy security in a rising oil price market,
solar will/does cost less then fossil fuel and geothermal, private
organization are ready to give low leasing options for solar, solar will
save Hawaii's residents thousands of dollars, and solar is the safest of
all clean renewable energy sources. There are some concerns that the
Hawaii's grid will not be able to support an increase in solar power
without costly upgrades to the system; let's let an independent study
determine the cost of upgrading the system and then possibly utilize
our tax payer dollars to upgrade to a smart system, instead of
upgrading to other unsafe and more costly energy options like
geothermal. Passing this resolution is a great choice for Hawaii!
2
Resolution 277-12 Increase Solar Feed-In from 15%to 50% Benefits/Concerns
Facts
Solar Costs are Declining
Please see chart below and quotes to the right.
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 21,
... ..m. ...__.. . .. . 2012
Total Installed PV System Pt w Stunning Fact:$2.69 Per
Costs of lEtectrkety Giobei Av r Watt For Solar In 2012
$7.20 "A revolutionary$2.69 per
67 00 4"
x7 +sM watt will be the global
' average solar price for an
installed system during 2012.
$3'7 _ 1""21 Clean Energy Trends 2012
Report. See page 5 of the
fix'"' ''=" .- - report. Just wow! At that
12 19 9$20/2 6 1t price, solar competes with
/117 14
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7 14 grid power in many
° ,', " locations in the world and
.._ _:.
11.60 6. 12 USA."
11.46 6.11
11:x7 6*10 Source:John Hanger Blog
$1.x8 x"10
"By the year 2020,
manufacturers in the United
States could make solar
panels that are less than
The price of solar has dropped by over 36% in the past 5 half as expensive as the
ones they make now. That
years and will continue to decline at a faster rate
would be cheap enough for
because: solar power to compete
• Solar panel design follows Moore's Law. Just like in the with electricity from fossil
computer industry the size of the panel required to fuels, according to a new
power someones home will decrease thus decreasing study in Energy&
the cost of solar energy. Environmental Science."-
• Larger scale investment will increase thus lowering MIT Report
manufacturing costs. Bloomberg New Energy Finance
estimates that solar investment in the last year has Source: Technology Review
gone up by 49% to $85 billion,, with much of that new
investment going into larger arrays.
• Government incentives. When the government supports
tax incentives for something it boosts consumer
adoption, which increases scalability.
3
Resolution 277-12 Increase Solar Feed-In from 15%to 50% Benefits/Concerns
Solar Financing Available
There are many financial organizations that will provide zero down loans or lease
programs for people to get solar systems at lower costs than what they are paying for
electricity today in Hawaii. See benefits section for a more detailed analysis of cost.
Many of the solar providers in Hawaii are ready to provide these services to Hawaii
residents.
A couple local Solar providers
• Hawaii Solar & Wind, LLC
• Sun Run Inc.
A a few loan financing companies:
• ABN AMRO
• US Renewables Group
• Chestnut Capital
Peak Oil is Here
The price of our current energy plan will only increase because it is based on oil. The
price of oil will increase since we are just reaching peak oil. The image below shows
that approximately 2011 or 2012 is peak oil. This comes from World production forecast
Made by Khebab of The Oil Drum in 2006 via www.wikipedia.com.
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4
Resolution 277-12 Increase Solar Feed-In from 15%to 50% Benefits/Concerns
Benefits
Local Security
Moving towards solar will provide Hawaii residence a Supports Home Rule. No
since of security during a declining energy market. need for dirty energy to be
Here on the islands we get plenty of sun to power our shipped into Hawaii.
business and homes.
Huge Cost Savings to Hawaii Residents
For approximately $109/month, a home owner could Over a 30 year life span for a
own a 520 mWh/month solar power system in 10 520 mWh/month solar
years that would last them somewhere between 20 - system a home owner would
30 years. save over $35,000 dollars
without including the
Note:A home electrical bill now for 332kWh of power increase in electrical cost
per month supports 4 people working from home for due to peak oil.
$134 per month. The residents do use energy saving
appliances, lights, etc.
Solar versus Geothermal Solar no pollution.
• Health and Safety - geothermal posses many
possible health risks to the community due to the Geothermal toxic gases.
toxic gases that can be released into the community.
Solar in comparison produces no toxic materials on
residents. Solar panel manufacturing may cause
some social injustices in foreign countries where
people must work long hours at low pay and in
harsh environments. The selection of panels from
ethical companies will be important.
• Economic - Solar values are associated with the
2007 solar$7.20/watt costs to create a safe margin Solar is over 15% cheaper
of cost comparison. We can power all of Hawaii's than geothermal. This 15%
homes for somewhere between $6.37 to $9.55 is a very safe number based
billion dollars with 3 to 2 residents (2011 Census) on 2007 cost of solar.
living in a home respectively with a monthly 520
kWh usage. This $6.37 to $9.55 billion dollar
investment into solar would result in approximately Puna Geothermal states that
1,764MW to 2,647MW of power respectively. In a 500MW power plant, which
comparison, based on a 1987 Hawaii Geothermal includes an underwater
Economic Analysis report made by the Northwest cable to Oahu, is
Economic Associates, just to produce 500MW of "technically feasible, but too
geothermal power with cables from Big Island to costly without considerable
Oahu will cost approximately $4 billion versus $3.6 government subsidies." Tax
billion to produce 500MW of solar power. Payer dollars.
5
Resolution 277-12 Increase Solar Feed-In from 15%to 50% Benefits/Concerns
Solar versus Geothermal...continued. Solar can be on every home!
• Security - solar energy will be dispersed throughout
the island versus geothermal, which will be located Geothermal can only be
in only a few spots, all off which are in high risk lava located in a few places. Most
flow zones that could result in Hawaii's power being of which are Lava Zone 1...the
destroyed practically overnight by a big lava flow. most risky for a lava flow.
Concerns
Helco power grid
As understood, Helco is claiming to have difficulty Suggest that an independent
supporting the upgrade of their system and are study be performed to
requiring those that wish to install solar to perform determine the cost for
independent analysis, which are currently being done upgrading in bulk the Helco
by Helco, of the Helco system so they can upgrade if system to support more solar
necessary to support the added power supplies. This power.
piecemeal analysis is costly to residents and
investors. Suggest that a quick (1 -2 month) broad Suggest Hawaii invest tax
study be done by both Helco and 3rd party suppliers payer dollars into upgrading
to determine the rough cost to upgrade the entire power grid for solar versus
system by community areas. Geothermal.
Conclusion
Solar is the future of Hawaii so lets insure it has the best chance of growing here. Solar
will be able to provide the energy demands of both industry and residential costs. Let's
make "Solar" the choice for Hawaii.
6