The URL can be used to link to this page

Home My WebLink About2017.6.19 North Kohala Action Committee Scenario PlanningCounty of Hawai‘i General Plan Comprehensive Review COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT PLAN ACTION COMMITTEE 1 PLANNER’S CHALLENGE 2 Trends and Data How Things Work Trade-Offs Public Stakeholders Policy-Makers Analyze Provide good information Support group decision-making Kilo THE GENERAL PLAN IS A KEY PLANNER’S TOOL 3 Sets forth the Council’s policy for long-range, comprehensive development of the County PublicStakeholdersPolicy-Makers Mandated by HRS & Charter Meant to guide all development patterns Establishes priorities for public investments Kilo Formal Welcome 4 Scenario Planning Track: •Output = Land Use and Capital Improvement Maps Strategies & Policies Track: •Output = General Plan Elements Community Planning Track: •Output = Relationship of Different Plans and their Implementation Overview CDP Land Use & Infrastructure Maps COUNTY OF HAWAI’I GENERAL PLAN Strategies & Policies Scenario Planning Research Goals Objectives Policies Actions 5 CDP IPA TODAY Choices, Strategies External Forces 6 Agriculture? Base Scenario Capacity Trend FUTURE Preferred Scenario Phase II Phase I DEVELOPMENT PATTERNS TODAY 7 Two primary urban centers Visitor industry centers Otherwise rural Only 60% of population in Census urban areas Low population density Ring of small historic towns and villages, often with rural residential and small farms nearby Underserved growth areas Residential Nonresidential These patterns were established in the 1960s Formal Welcome 8 Community Development Plans & TWO TYPES OF SCENARIO PLANNING Model Driven •Relies on rules •Helps understand external forces •Helps test choices and strategies Planner Driven •Informed by model information •Provides sketching and modeling methods •Helps refine choices and strategies 9 Using Formal Welcome 10 MODEL DRIVEN SCENARIOS External Forces CDP IPA TODAY Choices, Strategies External Forces 12 Agriculture? Base Scenario Capacity Trend FUTURE Phase I Existing zoning rights already allow for enough homes for 852,000 people –over 4 times our population and housing count today 13 Today’s population Growth by 2040 Zoned capacity 195,000 296,000 852,000 That’s enough to last until the year 2107 at current rates of growth And the current General Plan allows even more CAPACITY MODEL MOST CAPACITY IS IN UNDERSERVEDGROWTHAREAS 14 Rural growth areas “Low pressure system” in housing market New development is most likely in the ALREADY zoned AND SUBDIVIDED areas –it’s cheaper and easier Most available zoned capacity is in underserved growth areas Kilo Zoned Residential Capacity Today Excludes existing development CAPACITY MODEL 15 52% growth by 2040 2015: 195,000 2040: 296,000 Slowest growth Fastest growth TREND MODEL Rate of Growth 16 = Hilo 45,627 Hamakua, 13,748 South Kohala, 21,481 North Kohala, 6,054 Kona 55,740 Ka'u, 9,782 Puna 45,448 Hilo 58,095 Hamakua, 18,310 South Kohala, 32,790 North Kohala, 7,973 Kona 82,169 Ka'u, 15,917 Puna 81,069 2015 2040 TREND MODEL CDP IPA TODAY Choices, Strategies External Forces 17 Agriculture? Base Scenario Capacity Trend FUTURE Phase I •Defined “productive agricultural land” •Tested choices and strategies that could be used to protect productive agricultural land 18 AGRICULTURE MODEL 28% of total land area 19 Trend Scenario Ag Scenario Productive Ag Land New homeExisting home Saves ag land and does not conflict with other goals of the General Plan Kilo AGRICULTURE MODEL •Identify priority areas •Focus future growth within IPAs •Identified gaps in capacity and infrastructure •Incentivized infill 20 INFRASTRUCTURE PRIORITY AREAS (IPA) MODEL 21 Trend Scenario IPA Scenario IPA Boundary New homeExisting home Current project moves forward Limited new growth outside IPA IPA MODEL 22 COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT PLAN (CDP) MODEL •Incentivized growth in concentrated areas •Prioritized agriculture, conservation and/or hazard avoidance 23 PLANNER DRIVEN SCENARIOS TODAY Choices, Strategies External Forces 24 CDP IPA Agriculture? Base Scenario Capacity Trend FUTURECDP Plus Trend Plus Phase I Phase II External Forces •52% population increase •Community diversity •CDP variations Choices & Strategies •Increase market desirability in established centers •Urban areas and planned centers are incentivized for growth •Urban areas and planned centers have enough zoning capacity 25 CDP PLUS MODEL External Forces •52% population increase •Rates of rural growth •Infrastructure level of service Choices, Strategies 26 TREND PLUS MODEL Roads: •Major destinations •Existing congestion •Connectivity •Multi-modal Water and Wastewater: •Demand •Proximity •Feasibility (Mix of public and private) •Balance MOVE TO COMMUNITY VIZ IN GIS 27 TODAY Choices, Strategies External Forces 28 CDP IPA Agriculture? Base Scenario Capacity Trend FUTURECDP Plus Trend Plus Phase I Phase II CDP Land Use & Infrastructure Maps COUNTY OF HAWAI’I GENERAL PLANScenario Planning Research Goals Objectives Policies Actions 29 Strategies & Policies THE GENERAL PLAN IS A KEY PLANNER’S TOOL 30 Sets forth the Council’s policy for long-range, comprehensive development of the County PublicStakeholdersPolicy-Makers Mandated by HRS & Charter Meant to guide all development patterns Establishes priorities for public investments Kilo GENERAL PLAN COMPREHENSIVE REVIEW County of Hawai’i Stay up to date! General Plan Website: cohplanningdept.com/general-plan/ Facebook: facebook.com/cohgeneral-plan Email: generalplan@hawaiicounty.gov 31