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HomeMy WebLinkAboutMulti-Hazard Mitigation Plan: 06. Landslides And Rock Falls CIVIL DEFENSE AGENCY COUNTY OF HAWAII 920 ULULANI STREET HILO,HAWAII 96720 r f 6. Landslides and Rock Falls Chapter 6:Hazard Analysis—Landslides and Rock Falls CHAPTER 6 - LANDSLIDES AND ROCK FALLS 6.1 Description of Hazard Landslides are one of the natural processes of erosion resulting from mass transfer, the movement of material down the side of slopes under the influence of gravity. Mass transfer may also occur as falling, sliding or rolling of individual rocks or rock fragments,washing of loose materials by rain runoff and soil creep. Although gravity is the primary reason for landslides, other naturally occurring factors include: • Erosion by rivers or ocean waves creating over steepened slopes; • Rock and soil slopes that are weakened through saturation by heavy rain and runoff, • Stress created by earthquakes; • High winds uprooting trees along steep slopes. Human made causes of landslides may include grading, terrain cutting and filling and devel- opment on hillsides or excessive slopes. Landslides can occur on any sloping terrain given the right conditions of soil, moisture and the angle of slope. This ongoing process is generally slow and rarely noticeable. Occasionally landslides will occur in a spectacular rush or an abrupt collapse, often triggered by another natural hazard such as an earthquake or flooding. 6.1.1 Hazard Areas Areas that may be considered prone to landslides may include the following: • On existing old landslides • On or at the base of slopes • In or at the base of minor drainage hollows • At the base or top of an old fill slope • At the base or top of a steep cut slope • Developed hillsides where leach field septic systems are used.2t Roadcuts and other altered or excavated areas of slopes are particularly susceptible to debris flows and abrupt collapse. Several areas along the Hamakua Coast are chronic problem areas particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. In addition, the three major gulches Maulua, Laupahoehoe and Kaawalii, which are known for the "horseshoe" turns on State Highway 19, present rock fall problems. The rock fall problems arise during times of heavy rain as well as strong winds which sway the trees along the walls of the gulch back and forth and loosen the dirt and rocks underneath it. Homes that are built along the edge of the Hamakua coast cliffs are also susceptible to abrupt collapse particularly during times of heavy rainfall. These cliffs along the northeast coast of Mauna Kea range in height from 50 to 350 feet. The sea cliffs are eroded through a continu- ous process of wave action at the base of the cliff which cuts a notch and undermines the 21 USGS Fact Sheet FS-071-00 6-1 Hawaii County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan Chapter 6:Hazard Analysis—Landslides and Rock Falls higher section of the cliff which eventually collapses and drops off. A photograph taken following a landslide caused by the Kiholo Bay earthquake is shown in Figure 6-1. r Figure 6-1. Massive coastal escarpment landslides into the ocean,Hamakua Coast (Photograph courtesy of Hawaii Civil Defense Agency) 6-2 Hawaii County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan Chapter 6:Hazard Analysis—Landslides and Rock Falls Figure 6-2. Examples or earthquake-induced rock falls causing road hazard or closure 6.2 Significant Catastrophic Events Giant catastrophic slides have occurred around the major Hawaiian Islands thousands of years ago. At least 15 giant landslides have been identified by United States Geological Survey (USGS)marine scientist with the most recent occurring approximately 100,000 years ago off the Kona coast. Each of these slides has resulted in huge land losses to the islands and resulted in large waves that have carried rocks and sediments as high as 1000 feet above sea level. Although these giant landslides have the potential for enormous loss of life, property and resources, these events are infrequent in human terms, occurring perhaps once every few tens of thousands of years. (USGS,Volcano Watch, 1997) The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) suggests that we should not be overly concerned about the giant landslides because they are so infrequent (once every few tens of thousands of years) and because"we can do virtually nothing to mitigate such gigantic slides and tsunami- except to follow evacuation routes predetermined by Civil Defense and hope that the tsunami is not too high." (USGS Volcano Watch, 1997) "Worrying realistically means directing our limited resources to the hazardous events most likely to occur-the ones whose effects we now have the ability to mitigate through education and foresight." (USGS Volcano Watch, 1997) A significant landslide mentioned in historical times is a mudflow triggered by the largest earthquake in recorded history in April, 1868. The mudflow killed 31 people in Wood Valley in the Ka'u district. No other landslide event has been mentioned as resulting in any loss of life. 6-3 Hawaii County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan Chapter 6:Hazard Analysis—Landslides and Rock Falls 6.3 Probability of Occurrence Landslides and rock falls typically occur as a result of another hazard or force of nature, and due to the multitude of forces that may cause landslides and rock falls assigning or calculating the return period of events of a destructive magnitude would be extremely difficult. However, it is possible to determine areas that have a higher potential of risk for such events as was done in a study was conducted by URS. In this study a conceptual level slope risk map was prepared, using an adaptation of the slope hazard methodology given in the FEMA 2007 HAZUS-MH MR3 Technical Manual. The approach involved the interactions of three primary slope hazard input criteria simplified to low, medium and high hazard susceptibility, described below: Topography: A high resolution slope map of the entire island is composed of recent aerial, lidar and satellite 10m DEM topographic survey data from USGS and FEMA sources. Slope criteria are categorized as: 1. <20degreees (low hazard susceptibility) 2. <20-40 degrees (medium hazard susceptibility) 3. >40 degrees (high hazard susceptibility) Geologic groups: Soil and rock categories assigned based upon strength and susceptibility to landslide was derived from existing UDSA NCRS surface maps and USGS geologic maps. Adapted geologic group assignments for the Island of Hawaii include: 1. shallow rock, fresh volcanics (low hazard susceptibility) 2. clay surficial soils,weathered rock (medium hazard susceptibility) 3. weak soft soils, ash deposits, mapped historic slide talus (high hazard susceptibility) In addition, URS interpreted historic Hawaii DOT landslide locations, as medium hazard for locations with preliminary FHWA Rockfall Hazard Rating System (RHRS) of less than 200 and high hazard for locations with preliminary RHRS values greater than 200. 6-4 Hawaii County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan Chapter 6:Hazard Analysis—Landslides and Rock Falls / l LOW MEDIUM HIGH x- N!"\.x,w, SLOPE HAZARDS . nw....... G-�--i- ttG�JJJ�� SURFICIAL GEOLOGY r c sn.Iio.xat �an�P..0 Awoy..bp.xl XISTORIG XAZAROS vw�x.ea.e ao.tuw.a.uu .bpx.ua ]xy.N.ua.YydN��Y - Grs.P..'...M X\ale hax+nui MMLD.iM\1MI�\� may.rsx x..�lml mmuwe. xmY Figure 6-3. Slope hazards and soil types on Hawaii Island Soil moisture: The HAZUS MH4 slope hazard methodology considers soil moisture as either wet or dry, with wet soils posing increased slope hazard. Soil moisture assignments are derived from recent NOAA rainfall mapping of the island since regional groundwater and soil moisture data is unavailable island wide. Areas receiving greater than 2000 mm annual precipitation are considered wet soil, corresponding largely to the windward side of the island. In addition, coastal areas below elevation 200' are considered wet due to potential groundwater seepage gradients from higher elevations, except in the and Kona coast areas. 6-5 Hawaii County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan Chapter 6:Hazard Analysis—Landslides and Rock Falls oa.a u w p, ocean saiaw..aw.r coaem� a ®rw xa.a rTpxm•.,e Figure 6-4. Precipitation and groundwater condition on Hawaii Island • HAZUS-MH MR4 provides susceptibility categories combining slope angle, soil type and soil moisture in ten categories (I to X), with an assigned yield acceleration to each category. The combined susceptibility categories when mapped thus represent zones of potential landslide triggering under different levels of ground shaking. • The ten HAZUS risk zones were converted to polygon shape files and mapped to census blocks/tracts, with an interface to Geodatabase (NAD83) so that HAZUS SHAKEMAP runs will then interpret triggering criteria and assign a triggered or non triggered assessment for a given earthquake scenario, and then incorporate loss estimates with other HAZUS estimate modules. 6-6 Hawaii County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan Chapter 6:Hazard Analysis—Landslides and Rock Falls —WK— K, 411 :Y �� � ..• r f F% Pacllle O.sen Figure 6-5. Landslide susceptibility map of Hawaii Island HAMS assigned landslide sucscepibility categories for the Island of Hawaii.This figures is a conglomerate of spatially assigned topography,geology and soilo mostures relationships with superimposed mapped historical landslides 6.4 Risk Assessment The random nature of landslide and rock fall events presents a difficult challenge in assessing the risk in relation to other hazards that occur at more probabilistic intervals. As discussed in the previous section the HAZUS Earthquake model incorporates potential losses due to landslides into its economic loss predictions. Currently there is no way of quantifying the total risk of landslides and rock falls due to other hazards such as heavy rain and coastal erosion, other than history. 6-7 Hawaii County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan Chapter 6:Hazard Analysis—Landslides and Rock Falls 6.5 Mitigation Strategies 6.5.1 Previous/Current Efforts The State Department of Transportation tries to address the landslide and rock fall problems through their maintenance budget. The more chronic problem areas will require additional CIP (Capital Improvement Project) funding that has not been provided to date; although landslide events are a concern for our roadways, utilities and structures, and data is available regarding the frequency and severity of these events. Discussions with State and County highway maintenance agencies have yielded only anecdotal information regarding landslide problem areas. Rockfall protection projects have been conducted along stretches of Hawaii Belt Road. Figure 6-6 illustrates locations where historic landslides have impacted major roadways in Hawaii County. Legend Slope Hazards _ - Historic Landslides Other Roads Major Roads ORTH KONA NQRT KONI LIf }t\ ! souTH t HAMAKUA : SOU HILO y ORTH KONA ' SO KONA NORTH HILOi. � Y PUNA�J '1 OUTH KONA I Figure 6-6. Map of historic landslide locations impacting major roads Individual homeowners are attempting to address the problem of the collapse of the Hamakua Coast sea cliffs by reinforcing the cliff sides and anchoring their structures. Additional information is needed to assess these efforts and to determine adequate setbacks for future construction. 6-8 Hawaii County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan Chapter 6:Hazard Analysis—Landslides and Rock Falls 6.5.2 Future Plans Improving the landslide susceptibility map: Project Description Status New UH study is to generate GIS maps are included,which To start in 2010,completion potential slope stability hazard could be used for prioritization of subsequent to this hazard maps which could be used to investigations as well as assessment mitigation plan update identify zones that may warrant tools for earthquake preparedness. further detailed evaluation during UH will take the URS'information project planning. from the landslide-potential map to develop 2nd generation maps that will identify priority criteria and critical areas for more detailed study(e.g.,road cuts and lifelines). • Subdivide the island into subtracts for slope hazards to allow practical use of more slope susceptibility categories giving greater resolution. Digital file sizes limited the island wide mapping to 3 slope angle categories. Resolution of the final mapping varies from layer to layer due to disparate data sources. The scale of the 17" x 22" map is 1:333,732. • Refine key slope areas, colluvium, debris flows and poor soils intersect w/boring data and shear strike measurements (field and from maps). • Refine soil wetness map with well and groundwater model data. • Incorporate final HDOT RHRS data. • Validate estimated generalized allowable slope angle relationship for local fractured/weathered basalts, soils, and ash with lab testing. • Incorporate more detailed offshore submarine slope modeling. • Incorporate more detailed USGS slope modeling with: • Simple rigid block deformation modeling(Newmark)using shallow friction behavior of basalts and andesites, ignoring soil strength. • Assigning spatial probability& susceptibility by event • Mapping of critical accelerations using Factor of Safety contours. • Consider inaccessible damages on very steep (>60degrees)high(>1000ft) cliffs at the North Kohala Ditch and general trends of landslide damage on leeward(west) slopes. 6-9 Hawaii County Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan