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Figure 2. A: Histogram <br />Volume <br />(km') <br />showing number (No.) <br />N 21 <br />00,L <br />of tephra ages, prepared <br />m a <br />from Tables DR2 and DR3 <br />0o <br />(see footnote 1). B: Histo- <br />0.3 <br />gram showing number of <br />Explosive <br />different dated lava flows <br />11 <br />per century in each erup- <br />260 <br />tive period. Numbers indf- <br />o <br />tate how many different <br />Z <br />flows were dated per pe- <br />5.5 <br />riod. From 1800 CE, only <br />Effusive <br />flows outside the caldera <br />are counted, because in- <br />ZLC <br />tracaldera flows are not <br />E <br />recognizable for earlier <br />=i <br />periods. Analytical data <br />j <br />and original figure from <br />which histogram was pre- <br />pared are in Table DRi -sco 0 500 '000 1500 2000 <br />and Figure DR11; entire Calendar year (BCE negative) <br />calendar ranges were <br />used except where constrained by stratigraphy. C: Histogram of esti- <br />mated volume (not corrected for pore space) erupted subaerially dur- <br />ing each eruptive period. Gray is dominantly effusive period. Black is <br />dominantly explosive period. UA—Uwekahuna Ash; KT—Keanakako'i <br />Tephra Member. <br />tivity. Instead, almost all summit eruptions were explosive: sporadic, vio- <br />lent, and brief. In contrast. most eruptions during the intervening periods <br />were frequent, effusive, and sometimes lasted for decades. This suggests <br />a cyclicity in summit activity. shifting from mostly effusive to mostly ex- <br />plosive and back again. <br />DISTRIBUTION OF LAVA FLOW AGES <br />Did the rest of the volcano, beyond the extent of marker ash beds for <br />the two dominantly explosive periods, behave similarly? To address this <br />question, we compiled and calendar -calibrated all 93 known r'C ages of <br />10auca lava flows younger tJhan ca. 500 BCE (only a few ages are older <br />than that -.Table DR 1.1. Figure 2B and Figure DR1 show the distribution of <br />the calendar -calibrated flow ages with time for the past 2500 yr, with the <br />two periods of major tephra production indicated. Lava flow ages cluster <br />in periods between explosive eruptions. This is best shown for the past <br />1000 yr. Numerous ages plot in the 100G-1500 CE time interval, when <br />the present summit shield was under construction (Holcomb, 1987; Neal <br />and Lockwood. 2003); few are within die 1500-1800 CE period, when <br />the Kea nakako'i tephra was deposited, and numerous lava flows have <br />been observed to form since 1800 (1823 CE is the actual age of the oldest <br />known post-Kcanakiko'i flow). The number of flow ages is small before <br />1000 CE, but there appears to be an increase in the period 200-500 BCE <br />(Fig. 2A), from 0.8 flows/100 yr to 3.3 flows/100 yr, bracketing the 200 <br />BCE -1000 CE age of the Uwekahuna Ash. <br />Three factors could weaken this pattern. The spatial distribution of <br />lava flow ages is uneven (Fig. 1). The lower east rift zone is underrepre- <br />sented. For example, flows from Heiheiahulu (Holcomb, 1987) and the <br />so-called 1790 flow (Moore and Trusdell, 1991), both ascribed to the 18i1 <br />century, are not dated. <br />Second, young flows cover old ones, so die temporal record becomes <br />obscured with age. Few ages, however, plot in the 1200 -yr -long period <br />of tephra production, in contrast to die many flow ages in the following, <br />much briefer, 500 -yr -long period. <br />Third, flows along die Puna Ridge, the 75 -km -long submarine ex- <br />tension of the east rift zone, etre not dated well enough for our analysis <br />(Smith ct al., 2002). Palagonite rind thicknesses suggest ages for dredged <br />samples of 700-24.000 yr, mostly 2000-7000 yr (Clague et al., 1995). <br />This suggests relatively little eruptive activity during the past 2500 yr. The <br />large flows at the base of the ridge are not young, based on sediment cover <br />(Clague et al., 1995). We discuss only the subaerial edifice in this paper, <br />but suspect that our conclusions apply to the Puna Ridge. <br />Acknowledging these caveats, we think that the clear pattern for the <br />summit area holds for the entire subaerial edifice. We interpret th-_ sub- <br />aerial volcano to have undergone alternating periods of mostly explosive <br />and mostly effusive eruptions for the past 2500 yr. Successive periods con- <br />stitute explosive -effusive cycles of varying duration. <br />MAGMA SUPPLY DROPS DURING PERIODS OF MAINLY <br />EXPLOSIVE ACTIVITY <br />How do eruptive volumes and rates of magma supply compare be- <br />tween the explosive and effusive periods? The volume of magma erupted <br />during periods of dominantly explosive activity is far less than that dur- <br />ing effusive periods (Fig. 2C), and the calculated magma supply rate is <br />correspondingly lower, only 1%-2% of the effusive rate (Table 1). Our <br />estimates of flow volumes (Table 1; Fig. 2C) are compromised by variable <br />flow thickness and coverage by later flows. A simple comparison of tephra <br />and flow thickness at the summit area, however, illustrates the disparity <br />between effusive and explosive volumes. <br />TABLE 1. ESTIMATED VOLUME OF LAVA ERUPTED ON SUBAERIAL KTLAUEA <br />DURING DOMINANTLY EFFUSIVE AND DOMINANTLY EXPLOSIVE PERIODS <br />Calendar age <br />range <br />Volume <br />(km') <br />Magma supply rate <br />(km°/yr•) <br />Dominant style <br />500r200 BCE <br />>0.6 <br />not calculated <br />Effusive <br />200 BCE -1000 CE <br />0.3 <br />2.5 x 10-` <br />Explosive <br />1000-1500 CE <br />11 <br />2.2 x 10-2 <br />Effusive <br />1500-1800 CE <br />0.15 <br />5 x 10-' <br />Explosive <br />1600 -present <br />5.5 <br />2.6 x 10-1 <br />Effusive <br />Note: Effusive volumes estimated using mapped areas of flows and areas <br />projected beneath younger flows, as shown on geologic maps (Wolfe and Morns, <br />1996; Neal and Lockwood, 2003), assuming an age consistent with 14C data <br />and unit label; thickness was estimated from field observations and topographic <br />gradient. Explosive volumes were estimated from area and average thickness of <br />juvenile tephra. Volumes were not adjusted for vesicularity (lava flows) or pore <br />space (tephra). <br />'Average supply rate to ground surface for entire period. Not calculated for earli- <br />est period, which began before 500 BCE and so is incomplete. <br />The 140 -m -high wall of Kilauea Caldera is made almost entirely of <br />flows erupted between )000 and 1500 CE (Neal and Lockwood. 2003), <br />when the Observatory shield was built (Holcomb, 1987); its total thick- <br />ness is more, because the base of the shield is covered by caldera fill. In <br />contrast, the maximum exposed thickness of the Keanakako'i tephra is <br />only -11 m (McPhie et al., 1990; Swanson et al., 2012x). The flow thick- <br />ness is several meters thick 5 km southwest (downwind) of the summit, <br />and the tephra is only several centimeters. <br />A similar comparison can be made for the Uwekahuna Ash on <br />Kilauea's south flank. It is at most a few tens of centimeters thick, thin- <br />ning to only a few centimeters at the coastline (Fiske et al.. 2009), but the <br />overlying and underlying flows are each at least several meters thick. <br />The striking difference in erupted volume between periods domi- <br />nated by effusive and explosive activity must reflect a major disruption <br />to the supply system that lasts for centuries. The disruption could take <br />place anywhere between the point of melt accumulation in the mantle and <br />the shallow storage system beneath Krlauea's summit. Perhaps increased <br />magma supply to Mauna Loa volcano causes a drop in supply to Kilauea <br />(Gonneimann et al., 2012). Once magma enters the Kilauea plume, it <br />could be diverted away from the shallow reservoir, perhaps as intrusions <br />into the crust or lower shield (Lin et al., 2014). A subhorizontal mantle <br />pathway of magma transport at -30 km depth, interpreted by Wright and <br />Klein (2006; see also Wolfe et al., 2003), might be a zone within which <br />magma could stall or. -be divertedil Magma probably did not bypass the <br />summit reservoir system and immediately erupt on the Puna Ridge, be - <br />632 www.gsapubs.org I July 2014 1 GEOLOGY <br />