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decade, and about 7,500 per year since 2010 The stronger impact of net migration in recent
<br /> (Table 6). years was felt across all four counties but had the
<br /> greatest impact on Oahu. Honolulu lost almost
<br /> Table 7 shows that, in the nineties, out-migration 47,000 people to net out-migration in the nineties.
<br /> exceeded in-migration and reduced the Between 2000 and 2010, Honolulu's net migration
<br /> population by almost 10,000 persons. In the next accounted for 11 percent of total population
<br /> decade, in-migration was higher than out- growth. So far in this decade, Honolulu has lost
<br /> migration causing population growth in excess of more than 19,000 people due to a significant
<br /> 55,646 persons for the decade. So far this increase in domestic out-migration.
<br /> decade, the excess of out-migrants has reduced
<br /> the population by 549 persons. In just two years, 2017 and 2018, Honolulu lost
<br /> more than 13,000 people due to domestic out-
<br /> The degree of natural increase in population migration, far exceeding the number of people
<br /> change has diminished steadily over the last three migrating to Honolulu. That resulted in a net loss
<br /> decades. The excess of births over deaths of more than 10,000 Oahu residents. Although
<br /> contributed to 113,112 new residents in the there were substantial gains in natural increase
<br /> nineties, 93,118 new people in the last decade, for all four counties, that was not enough to offset
<br /> and 61,529 in the first eight years of the present Honolulu's notable loss in net migration.
<br /> decade. c. Households and Household Size
<br /> Table 7. Components of Population Change, Assuming a constant household size, the number
<br /> Hawaii, 1990-2018 of households should increase at the same rate
<br /> Net Natural Net as the population. Slower household formation
<br /> Change Increase Migration can be caused by social change, economic
<br /> 1990 to 2000 recession, or a shortage of new housing units. If
<br /> new households30 can't move out, there will be an
<br /> Honolulu 39,925 86,733 -46,808 increase in household size (crowding),
<br /> Hawai`i 28,360 10,477 17,883 suggesting pent up demand. Table 8 shows the
<br /> Maui 27,737 11,301 16,436 number of households for the State and counties
<br /> Kauai 7,286 4,601 2,685 since 1990.
<br /> State 103,308 113,112 -9,804
<br /> Table 8. Number of Households, 1990-2017
<br /> 2000 to 2010
<br /> Honolulu 77,051 68,958 8,093 County
<br /> Hawai`i 36,402 9,914 26,488
<br /> Maui 26,683 10,729 15,954 Honolulu Hawaii Maui Kauai State
<br /> Kauai 8,628 3,517 5,111
<br /> State 148,764 93,118 55,646 1990 265,304 41,461 33,145 16,253 356,163
<br /> 2010 to 2018 1995 275,877 49,282 38,326 18,967 382,452
<br /> Honolulu 26,874 46,553 -19,098 2000 286,450 52,985 43,507 20,370 403,312
<br /> Hawai`i 15,907 5,993 9,992 2005 300,557 60,396 48,393 21,997 431,343
<br /> Maui 12,365 6,604 5,840 2010 309,154 62,584 51,893 22,147 445,778
<br /> Kauai 5,038 2,379 2,717 2015 307,703 64,201 52,080 21,862 445,846
<br /> State 60,184 61,529 -549 2017 312,625 68,857 53,560 22,980 458,022
<br /> Source: DBEDT Data Book, 2009-Table 1.59, 2010-Table Source: Decennial Census 1990, 2000; ACS 1-year estimates
<br /> 1.56, and Census, Estimates of the Components of Resident 2005,2010,2015,2017.
<br /> Population Change, 2010 to 2018.
<br /> In Table 9, we see all three population growth
<br /> factors related to housing demand: total
<br /> 3° Adult children, roommates ready to be on their own,
<br /> growing families in need of more space.
<br /> Hawai'i Housing Planning Study,2019 Page 14
<br /> ©SMS December,2019
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