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Total New Units Needed <br />Based on the model, the tota number of housng unfts that will change hands n the period between <br />2OlZand 2016isapproximately 60,OOOto75,OOOunits. This is the nurnher of units that wouTd be <br />required to meet the needs of everyone who wanted to move. Most of those woud be resales and not <br />require any construction. <br />The number of new units that would have to be built during that five-year period to meet new dernand <br />generated by changing demographic and economic conditions might be as high as 50,000. Some of <br />thoseunit»m/iUbepnoducedbyHavva[/shousmgindostry(pubhcamdp/ivatp) Some wiH not, <br />Units that are not built represent the shortage of units needed to full total demand for housing <br />units. The shortage results from market inefficiencies (lack of information or coordination, lag times, <br />etc ), regulations that dampen supply, and economic realities (difficulties of producing units below <br />market prices, etc ) Thissbortagehascometobeknovvnaa"neededumits^undisdefinedasthe <br />chfference between total demand and expected suppy. <br />dentified in the Housing Dernand Survey, the rnedian household incorne for the State was $58,700, The <br />median was slightly higher for the City and County of Honolulu (S59,076) and approximately equal for <br />the County ofMaui ($68,424). Both Kauai and Hawaii Counties had rnedian househod incomes well <br />below the statewide median ($49'730and S49,6gG, respectively). <br />NA -05 P4 <br />Types of Units Needed <br />The Hawai'i Housing Model 2011 was used to develop the total number of needed units by county and <br />for the State as a whole. The distnhution of needed units hy tenure, type, and market evel was <br />developed from Housing Demand Survey data. <br />The analysis employs the assumption that needed units are distributed according to the effective and <br />qualified demand estirnates from the survey. <br />Effective deniand rneans that only Hawai'i residents who are planning to move to a unit in the State of <br />Hawaii in the next five years were incuded in the anaysis. The analy5is did nclude people who are <br />currently doubled -up for economic reasons. <br />The estirnates are based on qualified demand in the sense that their housing choices have been adjusted <br />to refUect their current econornic situations. f a survey respondent expressed a desire to move from a <br />rented unit lo an owned unit, hut did not have the financia resources to support that move, we added <br />that case to the list of rental units needed rather than the ownership unit needed. <br />Consolidated Plan <br />OMB Control No: 2506*117ilevp 06/30/2018) <br />HAWAII COUNTY 20 <br />