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arrivals from 1990-2000, a primarv economic generator crew far less than proiected The <br /> 1989 "Serves A" proiected a 35 per cent growth in westbound visitor arrivals in the 1990 <br /> 2_000 pertod: the actual number barely increased Agriculture the other major primarv <br /> economic sector, lost tobs because of the loss of the sugar industrv During the same time <br /> pertod, the county's population Brew about 24 per cent just slightly less than the 1989 Series <br /> A protection of 27 per cent It appears that there has been substantial population growth <br /> not driven by economic opportunities in the primarv industries This may be due to in <br /> migration of people seeking other amenities such as a clean environment and rural lifestyle <br /> Series A <br /> Series A is the most conservative projection. It assumes [the demise of the sugar industry <br /> and modest expansion] a 1 per cent annual growth rate in the visitor industry. [The overall <br /> 1985-2005 rate of growth for Series A of 2.0 % per annum is less than the 2.9% rate of growth of <br /> employment in the County during the last five yeazs.] It also assumes that the proposed State <br /> prison will not be constructed, job Growth at the University of Hawaii at Hilo will be limited <br /> to 16 positions per year, and the papaya industrv will grow at an annual rate of 1 per cent <br /> Without the construction of the proposed State prison on the island 2000 construction lobs <br /> <br /> over three years and approximately 1,000 permanent jobs to run the facility will not be <br /> <br /> realized. <br /> SERIES A <br /> POPULATION AND VISITOR INDUSTRY <br /> PROJECTIONS. HAWAII COUNTY 1985- [200512020 <br /> [Resident Westbound Hotel Rooms @ Condo Units @ Total Visitor <br /> Population Visitors to 70% 50% Units <br /> County <br /> 1985 106000 837000 4100 2000 6100 <br /> 1990 122000 1096000 5300 2400 7700 <br /> 1995 138000 1337000 6400 3000 9400 <br /> 2000 155000 1485000 7100 3400 10500 <br /> 2005 173000 1553000 7600 3600 11200] <br /> 20 <br /> Introduction <br /> <br />